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Winner predictions from The Age and Sydney Morning Herald

Shock and grief for Miranda Otto and Richard Roxburgh in the second episode of the six-part series Fires.Credit:ABC

Bert Newton Award for most popular presenter
Shouldwin: Leigh Salts
She’s one of Australia’s finest interviewers and earlier this year she announced she’d decided to step down as presenter of 7.30 after 12 years in the role. A Silver Logie seems like a suitable parting gift.
Will win: Hamish Blake
Unsurprisingly, Blake is the bookie’s favorite to win the Bert Newton Award, having previously won the category in 2013 for his work on Hamish & Andy’s Euro Gap Year. LEGO Masters was a ratings winner for Nine (which owns this masthead), and when you factor in Blake’s million-plus Insta-following, that should stack up to plenty of votes for the 40-year-old. Thomas Mitchell

Tony Armstrong is nominated for the most popular new talent award.

Tony Armstrong is nominated for the most popular new talent award.

Graham Kennedy Award for most popular new talent
Shouldwin: Tony Armstrong
the ABC NewsBreakfast sports presenter is not only one of the most talented presenters on Australian TV, but he also has the best facial hair. Sorry, Costa Georgiadis.
Willwin: Tony Armstrong
Much of Australia was already in love with him before the ABC decided to let him host a show about dogs, but once A Dog’s World with Tony Armstrong went to air, it was game over in this category.
TM

Most popular Australian actor or actress in an international program
Shouldwin: Murray Bartlett
hbo series The White Lotus was stacked with star power, but actor Murray Bartlett managed to steal the show as Armond, the concierge with a vengeful disdain for his high-paying guests. Bartlett was also involved in the single best scene to air on television in recent years. #suitcasegate
Will win: Sarah Snook
Succession is arguably the biggest TV show in the world, scooping best drama at the Golden Globes this year. Snook also came out on top that night, winning best supporting actress for her ruthless portrayal of Siobhan “Shiv” Roy. Chances are Snook’s trophy shelf will be adding another statue comes Logies night. TM

MasterChef Australia hosts Jock Zonfrillo, Melissa Leong and Andy Allen.

MasterChef Australia hosts Jock Zonfrillo, Melissa Leong and Andy Allen.Credit:have

Most outstanding reality show
Shouldwin: Master Chef Australia
Like a family recipe handed down over generations, Master Chef Australia is comforting, familiar, and something to look forward to at the end of a long day. This would be a well-deserved first Logie since judging trio Andy Allen, Melissa Leong and Jock Zonfrillo replaced George Calombaris, Matt Preston and Gary Mehigan in 2020.
Willwin: Master Chef Australia
Australian Survivor: Champions vs. contest was the inaugural winner of this category in 2019, but MasterChef Australia should get the job done this year. While ratings are no longer what they once were, the show has long been a critical favourite, and with 60-odd episodes per season, it has the advantage of being on air far longer than its competitors. TM

Anna Torv plays newsreader Helen Norville in The Newsreader.

Anna Torv plays newsreader Helen Norville in The Newsreader.Credit:ABC

Most popular drama program
Shouldwin: TheNewsreader
Crisp and illuminating, Michael Lucas’ exploration of vintage network television was a taut and compelling dance, deserving of the win for the sheer magnificence of William McInnes’ belligerence, Anna Torv’s endurance and Sam Reid’s innocence alone.
Willwin: Doctor Doctor
A solid dramatic piece that plays commercial television’s notes with a shrewd, knowing flourish. The category rises and falls on the power of the ensemble, and Rodger Corser, Nicole da Silva, Ryan Johnson, Tina Bursill and Hayley McElhinney have magnificent chemistry. ME

Most outstanding drama series
Shouldwin: TheNewsreader
Though it reeked of nostalgia, the 1980s-set TV newsroom drama was a breath of fresh air and a big ratings winner for the ABC. It touched on some of the biggest stories of the decade – Skylab, Azaria Chamberlain, AIDS – and equally big themes (homophobia, mental illness, sexism). And it was bloody great fun too.
Willwin: TheNewsreader
love me would be an equally worthy winner, but the nostalgia-fest should just edge it. KQ

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Most outstanding miniseries or telemovie
Shouldwin: Fires
The Unusual Suspects was a lot of fun, The Tourist was edge-of-your-seat tense, but for ambition, timeliness and punch-to-the-gut emotional impact, it has to be Fires.
Willwin: Fires
Audiences didn’t exactly warm to it, finding the subject and raw emotion just too close to home, but industry players admired the craft at every level of the production – and in the outstanding categories, they’re the ones voting. KQ

Long-time friends Heather Mitchell and Hugo Weaving play lovers Anita and Glen in the Binge series Love Me.

Long-time friends Heather Mitchell and Hugo Weaving play lovers Anita and Glen in the Binge series Love Me.

Most outstanding supporting actor
Shouldwin: William McInnes
He described his performance to this masthead last year as nothing more than yelling and wearing braces, but McInnes’ barnstorming performance as a bullying, bellicose, belligerent newsroom boss was key to the appeal of TheNewsreader.
Willwin: William McInnes KQ

Most outstanding supporting actress
Shouldwin: Heather Mitchell
In love me, Hugo Weaving and Mitchell gave us one of the raunchiest scenes of the year, as their late-in-life lust took full butt-baring flight over a dining table. Good for them. Mitchell may be billed as a support for the sake of the awards categories, but she was a big part of what made this multi-generational tale of love and loss so bewitching.
Willwin: Heather Mitchell – KQ

Most popular entertainment program
Shouldwin: Hard Quiz
Hard Quiz has consistently over performed for the ABC, posting strong ratings and introducing audiences to a wide range of topics they’d otherwise know nothing about. We’d also love to see host Tom Gleeson back on the Logies stage purely for the wild-card factor.
Willwin: goggle box australia
It seems Australians love to watch other Australians watch television because goggle box australia has had a stranglehold on this category since 2018. Smart money says the Foxtel program will make it three in a row. TM

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Most popular lifestyle program
Shouldwin: Travel Guides
Though the category has a long history of playing it safe – Better Homes and Gardensanyone? – there is clearly an audience appetite for playing outside the box. Travel Guides is inventive, unpredictable and packed with zing.
Willwin: Travel Guides
A tough call, because the living room feels like a safe bet through the charm oozing from its very pores thanks to an unrivaled ensemble (Amanda Keller, Barry Du Bois, Chris Brown, Miguel Maestre). But Travel Guides is a sticky and appealing concept, with enough meat on the bone to beat all comers. ME

The TV Week Logie Awards are broadcast on Nine, owner of this masthead, at 7pm on Sunday. Join our live blog for red carpet highlights followed by the award ceremony, from 3.30pm on Sunday.

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